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49. Variance in ML
Did you know? In 2012, AlexNet blew the competition away by slashing the ImageNet error rate by over 10%! This game-changing breakthrough showcased the power of deep neural networks and sparked the rise of CNNs—now the backbone of technologies like computer vision, speech recognition, and NLP.
In machine learning, learning models are algorithms designed to identify complex patterns, make data-driven predictions, and perform specialised tasks. Different models are suited to various problems—some excel at classification, while others are better for regression, clustering, or reinforcement learning.
These models vary by the underlying algorithm and their learning strategy, such as supervised or unsupervised learning.
In this blog, we will explore 16 key learning models in machine learning, dive into representative algorithms for each, and discuss their practical applications in real-world scenarios.
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Machine learning models are computational or mathematical systems that learn patterns from data and make predictions or decisions based on those patterns.
These models analyze data and adapt based on the information they process, helping to automate decision-making processes. The choice of model depends on the type of task, such as classification, regression, or clustering.
A learning model consists of algorithms that take input data, process it through various transformations, and output predictions or classifications.
The model is trained using a dataset, adjusting parameters and continuously improving performance through repeated iterations. These can be categorised into different types of models in machine learning based on the learning process and the task they are designed to solve.
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Now, let’s move on to the heart of the discussion and explore the different varieties of learning models.
Learning models in machine learning are generally classified into these three main types: supervised, unsupervised, and reinforcement learning. Each type uses different algorithms and has distinct real-world applications. Below, we'll look at each type, with examples and practical uses.
Supervised learning involves training a model on labeled data, where both the input and the desired output are provided. The model learns from this data to make predictions or classifications, adapting based on the feedback from the labeled examples.
Example: Predicting house prices is a common use case. For example, using data like house size, location, and number of rooms, a model learns how these features relate to price. It may predict that larger homes in certain areas tend to be more expensive. A dataset of 10,000 listings helps train the model to predict future prices or investments.
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Also read: 6 Types of Supervised Learning You Must Know About in 2025
Unsupervised learning models in machine learning work with data that has no labels. These models attempt to uncover hidden patterns or structures in the data without explicit output labels, allowing the model to explore relationships, clusters, and trends independently.
Example: In market segmentation, K-Means can group customers by buying behavior. Retailers can segment customers into categories like "frequent buyers" or "first-time buyers," helping tailor marketing strategies.
Example: In image processing, PCA extracts key features from high-resolution images, such as edges and textures, making it easier for machine learning models to analyze.
Also Read: Top 29 Image Processing Projects in 2025 For All Levels + Source Code
Also read: Supervised vs Unsupervised Learning: Key Differences
Example: In image classification, with 1,000 labeled images and 100,000 unlabeled ones, a semi-supervised model can learn from the labeled set and apply those insights to the unlabeled images, expanding its understanding without additional labeling effort.
Reinforcement learning models in machine learning are trained through interaction with an environment, receiving rewards or penalties based on their actions. These models learn to maximize long-term rewards by exploring different actions and adjusting based on feedback.
Example: Q-Learning trains self-driving cars to navigate traffic by rewarding successful actions and penalizing mistakes. Over time, the car learns the best actions, like stopping at red lights or making safe turns, improving decision-making.
Example: DQN trains agents to play Atari games by observing pixel data and using deep learning to approximate Q-values for actions. The agent refines its strategy through repeated play based on rewards, learning to play optimally.
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Ensemble models combine multiple base learners to enhance prediction accuracy, making them more robust and reliable. By aggregating predictions from various models, they reduce variance and bias, improving generalization on new data.
Example: In customer churn prediction, Random Forest combines decision trees focused on behaviors like usage patterns, improving reliability, and reducing outlier influence.
Also read: Random Forest Algorithm: When to Use & How to Use? [With Pros & Cons]
Example: For predicting loan defaults, Gradient Boosting uses financial data to refine predictions iteratively. Each tree corrects the previous one, improving accuracy and helping financial institutions assess default risks more reliably.
Example: AdaBoost in face detection combines weak classifiers to identify faces, adjusting weights on misclassified images. This process improves accuracy, making it suitable for real-time applications like video surveillance.
Also Read: Ensemble Methods in Machine Learning: Types, Applications, and Best Practices
Probabilistic models in machine learning predict event likelihoods by modeling data as probability distributions. These learning models in machine learning estimate the probability of outcomes and are commonly used in classification and time-series analysis. Let’s look at two key types in this category:
Example: In email classification, Naive Bayes determines if an email is spam by analyzing word frequencies (e.g., "free," "win," "offer") and calculating the probability of it being spam. While it assumes word independence, this approach works well for text classification tasks.
Example: HMMs model spoken words by assuming a hidden state (e.g., phoneme or word) that generates the speech signal at each moment. The system predicts the next word based on previous ones, enabling accurate language recognition. HMMs are especially effective for time-dependent data, like audio signals or video frames.
Neural networks, inspired by the human brain, are used to model complex data patterns through layers of interconnected nodes.
These neural network-based models in machine learning have been instrumental in solving a wide range of problems, particularly those involving large datasets and intricate relationships.
Let’s explore three major types of models in machine learning that utilize neural networks:
Example: FNNs can predict stock prices based on historical data, such as opening and closing prices, trading volume, and market indicators. After training, the model predicts future prices using learned patterns.
Example: CNNs are used in facial recognition. The model detects features like edges, eyes, and mouths across different layers to identify faces, regardless of angle or lighting.
Example: RNNs are used in language translation, predicting words based on the context of previous words, improving as the model processes more data.
Also read: Understanding Recurrent Neural Networks: Applications and Examples
These learning models in machine learning are foundational, each excelling in different tasks. Selecting the right model is crucial for solving complex real-world problems effectively.
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Now, each model performs differently, so it's important to evaluate them using the right metrics to determine which one best suits your specific task and data.
When comparing the performance of various learning models in machine learning, it is essential to evaluate them using appropriate metrics to ensure they are learning effectively and making accurate predictions.
Different models may excel in other areas depending on the task, and choosing the right evaluation metrics can help determine which model is best suited for your problem.
Choosing the right performance metric is crucial for evaluating model effectiveness. Different metrics provide insights into other aspects of a model's prediction capability. Below is a more detailed look at three key metrics: accuracy, precision, and recall.
Use Case: Accuracy works well in balanced datasets where false positives and false negatives have similar costs. For example, predicting customer churn in a balanced dataset can reliably use accuracy as a performance metric.
Use Case: Precision is crucial when false positives are costly, such as in medical diagnoses. High precision in cancer detection reduces unnecessary tests or treatments. The F1 Score is often used here to balance precision and recall, especially when there's a class imbalance.
Use Case: Recall is crucial in fraud detection to ensure most fraudulent activities are caught, even if it leads to more false positives. It's also important in disease screening, where missed positives can have serious consequences. The F1 Score helps balance precision and recall in imbalanced datasets.
Model complexity plays a crucial role in a model's generalization ability, which refers to how well it performs on unseen data.
The balance between overfitting and underfitting is key to achieving a model that can effectively predict real-world scenarios. Both overfitting and underfitting are common risks during model training, each with its challenges.
Let’s take a look at it in the table below:
Concept | Description | Impact | Example |
Overfitting | The model learns noise and outliers from training data, not just patterns. | Performs well on training data but poorly on unseen data. | A decision tree with too many branches that overfits the training data. Cross-validation can help identify overfitting by evaluating the model on different data subsets during training. |
Underfitting | The model is too simple to capture data patterns, leading to poor performance. | Performs poorly on both training and test data due to insufficient complexity. | A linear regression model predicting housing prices based only on square footage, missing other influential factors. |
Also read: Regularization in Machine Learning: How to Avoid Overfitting?
The complexity of a model—its number of parameters, layers (for deep learning models), or splits (for decision trees)—directly impacts its ability to generalize to unseen data.
Choosing the right model complexity is critical, as selecting a model with the appropriate balance helps prevent underfitting and overfitting. The goal is to ensure the model captures the most relevant patterns in the data without memorising irrelevant details or noise.
Simple learning models in machine learning, like linear regression, are preferred for tasks with linear relationships but can underfit complex data, missing important patterns. For example, predicting customer churn with limited features might lead to inaccurate predictions.
Complex models, such as deep neural networks or decision trees, can capture intricate patterns but may overfit if not regulated, memorizing noise rather than learning trends. Overfitting results in high training accuracy but poor performance on unseen data.
Example Scenario: Customer Churn Prediction
In this scenario, you're predicting customer churn for a telecom company using two models: a decision tree and logistic regression.
Decision Tree Model
Problem: The decision tree overfits, performing well on the training data but failing to generalize to new data, resulting in poor predictions for unseen customers.
Also read: How to Perform Cross-Validation in Machine Learning?
Logistic Regression Model
Problem: Logistic regression underfits, as it doesn’t capture all complex relationships. However, it generalizes better, maintaining consistent performance across both training and test sets.The decision tree model captures more churners but overfits, while logistic regression, though less accurate, offers better generalization. For deployment, logistic regression strikes a better balance between accuracy and complexity.
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Also Read: Top 5 Machine Learning Models Explained For Beginners
Now that you know the different types of ML models, let’s look at how you can choose the best one for your task.
Selecting the right learning models in machine learning for a task is crucial in machine learning, as it directly impacts performance and efficiency. The model you choose will depend on several factors, including the nature of the data, the desired outcome, and computational constraints. Below, we outline key considerations that can guide your decision-making process.
Here are some crucial factors that you should consider when making your decision about which model is best suited for your data:
Choosing between simple and complex learning models in machine learning often involves balancing accuracy and model interpretability. Here's how different model complexities can influence decision-making:
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Also Read: Types of Machine Learning Algorithms with Use Cases Examples
1. What does supervised learning require?
a) Labeled data
b) Unlabeled data
c) Both labeled and unlabeled data
d) None of the above
2. Which of the following is a regression algorithm?
a) K-Means
b) Linear Regression
c) Decision Trees
d) Naive Bayes
3. Which learning model is used for clustering?
a) Neural Networks
b) K-Means
c) Support Vector Machines
d) Gradient Boosting
4. Which model is most suitable for sequential data?
a) Convolutional Neural Networks
b) Feedforward Neural Networks
c) Recurrent Neural Networks
d) Logistic Regression
5. In reinforcement learning, what is the primary objective of an agent?
a) Maximize reward
b) Minimise data loss
c) Generalize across data
d) Optimise for computational power
6. Which of the following is a key characteristic of ensemble methods?
a) Single model prediction
b) Combining multiple models to improve accuracy
c) Using unstructured data
d) Non-interpretable models
7. What is the primary advantage of using Support Vector Machines (SVM)?
a) High interpretability
b) Handles large datasets with high dimensionality
c) Low computational cost
d) None of the above
8. Which of the following is an example of a probabilistic model?
a) Naive Bayes
b) Linear Regression
c) Convolutional Neural Networks
d) Random Forest
9. What type of data does Principal Component Analysis (PCA) deal with?
a) Categorical data
b) Structured numerical data
c) Time-series data
d) Image data
10. Which type of model would you use to predict customer churn based on various customer metrics?
a) Clustering model
b) Regression model
c) Reinforcement learning model
d) Probabilistic model
Also Read: The Ultimate Guide to Deep Learning Models in 2025: Types, Uses, and Beyond
Now that you've tested your knowledge on different types of models in machine learning, let's explore how upGrad can further enhance your understanding and skills in mastering machine learning techniques.
Choosing the right learning models in machine learning can be challenging with so many options. Start by defining your problem: classification, regression, or clustering. Then, test models suited for your task, like decision trees for classification or linear regression for prediction.
Use performance metrics like accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score to assess your models and adjust parameters for better results. Iterating based on real-world data will enhance your model's performance.
If you're finding it tough, upGrad can help. Whether you're a beginner or looking to refine your skills, upGrad's machine learning programs can guide you every step of the way.
Explore these additional upGrad professional programs:
Besides the above courses, you can also check out these free courses to jumpstart your learning:
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Supervised learning models in machine learning require labeled data to learn from, meaning the algorithm learns from input-output pairings to predict outputs for new data. On the other hand, unsupervised learning works with unlabeled data and seeks to uncover hidden patterns or structures, such as clustering or dimensionality reduction.
Linear regression is ideal for predicting continuous values with a linear relationship between input and output variables. Decision trees, however, are better for classification tasks or when handling non-linear relationships and feature interactions.
K-Means clustering is an unsupervised learning algorithm for grouping similar data points into clusters. It helps identify patterns or relationships within the data, such as segmenting customers based on purchasing behavior.
Reinforcement learning is used when an agent interacts with an environment to maximize rewards. Common applications include robotics, gaming, recommendation systems, and autonomous vehicles, where the agent learns optimal strategies through trial and error.
To prevent overfitting, you can use cross-validation, regularization (L1 or L2), simplifying the model, and gathering more training data. Early stopping, where training halts once performance on the validation set degrades, can also be effective.
Precision measures the accuracy of positive predictions, while recall evaluates how many actual positives were correctly identified. Balancing these metrics is crucial in tasks where the cost of false positives or false negatives is high.
Ensemble models, like Random Forest and Gradient Boosting, combine the predictions of multiple models to improve accuracy. These methods reduce bias and variance by averaging predictions or correcting errors from individual models, leading to better generalization.
SVMs are particularly useful when the data has a clear margin of separation and for binary classification tasks. They are effective in high-dimensional spaces, like text classification and image recognition, where other models might struggle.
Neural networks excel at learning complex patterns in unstructured data, like images and text, through multiple layers of interconnected nodes. Decision trees, in contrast, are simpler, making decisions based on hierarchical input data splits, and are easier to interpret.
Random Forest improves upon a single decision tree by averaging predictions from multiple trees built on random data samples. This reduces overfitting, improves accuracy, and increases robustness, making it more reliable for complex datasets.
Learning models in machine learning, particularly deep learning models, are designed to handle large datasets by learning intricate patterns and representations through multiple layers of neural networks. These models benefit from the data volume, allowing them to perform tasks such as image recognition or natural language processing more effectively than traditional models.
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